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比爾蓋茨的哈佛大學(xué)演講(8)

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  Finding solutions is essential if we want to make the most of our caring. If we have clear and proven answers anytime an organization or individual asks "How can I help?," then we can get action - and we can make sure that none of the caring in the world is wasted. But complexity makes it hard to mark a path of action for everyone who cares -- and that makes it hard for their caring to matter.

  如果我們要讓關(guān)心落到實(shí)處,我們就必須找到解決辦法。如果我們有一個(gè)清晰的和可靠的答案,那么當(dāng)任何組織和個(gè)人發(fā)出疑問"如何我能提供幫助"的時(shí)候,我們就能采取行動(dòng)。我們就能夠保證不浪費(fèi)一丁點(diǎn)全世界人類對(duì)他人的關(guān)心。但是,世界的復(fù)雜性使得很難找到對(duì)全世界每一個(gè)有愛心的人都有效的行動(dòng)方法,因此人類對(duì)他人的關(guān)心往往很難產(chǎn)生實(shí)際效果。

  Cutting through complexity to find a solution runs through four predictable stages: determine a goal, find the highest-leverage approach, discover the ideal technology for that approach, and in the meantime, make the smartest application of the technology that you already have -- whether it's something sophisticated, like a drug, or something simpler, like a bednet.

  從這個(gè)復(fù)雜的世界中找到解決辦法,可以分為四個(gè)步驟:確定目標(biāo),找到最高效的方法,發(fā)現(xiàn)適用于這個(gè)方法的新技術(shù),同時(shí)最聰明地利用現(xiàn)有的技術(shù),不管它是復(fù)雜的藥物,還是最簡(jiǎn)單的蚊帳。

  The AIDS epidemic offers an example. The broad goal, of course, is to end the disease. The highest-leverage approach is prevention. The ideal technology would be a vaccine that gives lifetime immunity with a single dose. So governments, drug companies, and foundations fund vaccine research. But their work is likely to take more than a decade, so in the meantime, we have to work with what we have in hand - and the best prevention approach we have now is getting people to avoid risky behavior.

  艾滋病就是一個(gè)例子??偟哪繕?biāo),毫無疑問是消滅這種疾病。最高效的方法是預(yù)防。最理想的技術(shù)是發(fā)明一種疫苗,只要注射一次,就可以終生免疫。所以,政府、制藥公司、基金會(huì)應(yīng)該資助疫苗研究。但是,這樣研究工作很可能十年之內(nèi)都無法完成。因此,與此同時(shí),我們必須使用現(xiàn)有的技術(shù),目前最有效的預(yù)防方法就是設(shè)法讓人們避免那些危險(xiǎn)的行為。

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